Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock jumped to an all-time high after the chipmaker reported second-quarter results. But with a pullback in shares, some investors may be wondering: Is AMD stock a buy right now?


AMD has staged an amazing turnaround over the past six years, fueled by new products and improved profitability. And AMD stock has climbed as a result.

AMD competes with Intel (INTC) in making central processing units, or CPUs, for personal computers and servers. It also rivals Nvidia (NVDA) in the market for graphics processing units, or GPUs, for PCs, gaming consoles and data centers.

Founded in May 1969, AMD went public in September 1972. AMD shifted to a fabless semiconductor business in March 2009 by spinning off its factories into a joint venture called GlobalFoundries.

Chief Executive Lisa Su Making A Difference

Current Chief Executive Lisa Su took the reins in October 2014. She shepherded the Santa Clara, Calif.-based company into a new era with its Ryzen PC processors and Epyc server chips in 2017.

Under her supervision, AMD jumped ahead of Intel in making CPUs at smaller node sizes, giving its products an edge in speed and performance. AMD is making chips at 7-nanometer scale, while Intel has struggled to make chips at 10-nanometer scale. AMD is now developing chips at 5-nanometer scale. Circuit widths on chips are measured in nanometers, which are one-billionth of a meter.

In July 2020, Intel announced a six-month delay in production of its already behind-schedule 7-nanometer processors. Intel now expects to ship its first 7-nanometer processors in late 2022 or early 2023. By that time, AMD could be making 3-nanometer processors, analysts said.

Also, on June 29, Intel revealed a delay in production of its next-generation Xeon data center processors by about one quarter to the first quarter of 2022.

The situation has helped AMD take market share from Intel in PCs and servers. Those gains have buoyed AMD stock.

Chip foundry Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) produces AMD’s chips.

Su also is overseeing a potentially transformative acquisition. On Oct. 27, AMD announced an all-stock deal worth $35 billion to buy Xilinx (XLNX) to expand its growing data-center business. However, AMD stock fell on the Xilinx acquisition news. Critics said the acquisition complicates AMD’s “clean” investor story around market share gains in processors.

Intel Losing Market Share To AMD

In the second quarter, AMD continued to take market share from Intel in CPUs for notebook PCs and servers, according to Mercury Research. But it lost ground in desktop PC processors as it prioritized higher-margin products.

AMD’s unit share of desktop PC processor sales was 17.1% in the June quarter, down from 19.2% in the year-earlier period.

AMD’s unit share of notebook PC processor sales was 20% in the second quarter, up from 19.9% in the same quarter last year.

Advanced Micro Devices made the biggest gains in the more lucrative server CPU business. Its server CPU market share was 9.5% in the period, up from 5.8% in the June quarter last year.

AMD made its gains despite supply constraints with its contract manufacturer in the period.

Advanced Micro Devices News: New PC, Server Chips

Last October, AMD introduced its next-generation Ryzen processors for desktop computers. It described its Ryzen 5000 series central processing units as the “fastest gaming CPUs in the world.” The Ryzen 5000 series products are aimed at PC gamers and content creators.

On Jan. 12, during a keynote speech at the virtual CES 2021 tech conference, Chief Executive Su introduced the company’s new Ryzen 5000 Series mobile processors. She called the chips “the most powerful PC processors ever built for ultrathin and gaming notebooks.” However, AMD stock fell 2% that day.

On March 15, AMD introduced its third-generation Epyc processors. The chips are designed for high-performance computing, cloud data center and enterprise server applications. AMD stock rose 1.8% on the news.

On May 19, AMD announced a new share buyback program. The company intends to repurchase up to $4 billion worth of its common stock. AMD stock advanced 2.4% on the news.

AMD Fundamental Analysis

Late on July 27, AMD reported better-than-expected second-quarter results and guided higher for the current quarter and full year. AMD stock leapt 7.6% the next day.

AMD earned an adjusted 63 cents a share on sales of $3.85 billion in the June quarter. Analysts had forecast AMD earnings of 54 cents a share on sales of $3.62 billion. On a year-over-year basis, AMD earnings surged 250% while sales increased 99%.

For the September quarter, AMD expects to generate revenue of about $4.1 billion, up 46% year over year. Wall Street had predicted $3.82 billion in sales for the third quarter.

For the full year, AMD now expects revenue growth of about 60%, up from its prior guidance of about 50%.

The next catalyst for AMD stock could be the chipmaker’s third-quarter earnings report, due in late October.

AMD Stock Technical Analysis

AMD stock sank to a nearly four-decade low of 1.61 a share in July 2015 before starting its epic recovery.

On July 28, AMD stock broke out of a cup-with-handle base at a buy point of 95.54, according to IBD MarketSmith charts. It notched a record high of 122.49 on Aug. 4 as it surged out of the 20% to 25% profit-taking zone, based on IBD trading principles.

It then retreated in heavy-volume trading over the next four days. AMD stock ended regular-session trading on Aug. 13 at 110.55.

Today, AMD stock has an IBD Relative Strength Rating of 88 out of 99. The Relative Strength rating shows how a stock’s price performance stacks up against all other stocks over the last 52 weeks. The best growth stocks typically have RS Ratings of at least 80.

AMD stock has a best-possible IBD Composite Rating of 99. IBD’s Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.

Is AMD Stock A Buy Right Now?

AMD stock is not a buy right now. It is extended above the 5% buy zone of its recent breakout.

It needs to form a new base in the right market conditions before setting a potential buy point. Check out IBD’s Big Picture column for the current market direction.

The IBD Stock Checkup tool shows AMD in first place out of 30 stocks in IBD’s fabless semiconductor industry group.

The fabless chipmaker group ranks No. 68 out of 197 industry groups that IBD tracks. Growth stock investors should focus on leading stocks in the top 40 industry groups.

Choosing highly rated stocks from leading industry groups in a confirmed stock market uptrend generally increases your chances of making profits in growth stocks.

To find the best stocks to buy or watch, check out IBD Stock Lists as well as IBD’s Leaderboard, MarketSmith and SwingTrader platforms.

Follow Patrick Seitz on Twitter at @IBD_PSeitz for more stories on consumer technology, software and semiconductor stocks.


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Source: Is AMD Stock A Buy After Chipmaker’s Second-Quarter Earnings Report?

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